Estimate danger of ignition of wildfires

Galicia

WHAT DOES IT INVOLVE?

Galicia is the autonomous community with the major number of wildfires annually. With this project was generated an ignition risk index for know the more propense zones for suffer a wildfire.

“Human causes are the principal responsible of wildfires in Galicia.”

FOR KNOW MORE

Ignition wildfire risk index was calculated with a 500 meters detail level. Causality of wildfire was calculated through a Geographical Weighted Logistic Regression (GWLR). This model obtained a 75% reliability for human causes wildfires and a 94% for natural wildfires.

Model validation was realized with remote sensing data in summer of 2013, achieved a 60% success.

CURIOSITIES

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The human occurrence is dominant in Pontevedra province wildfires.

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he natural wildfires are limited at oriental extreme of Galicia.